{"id":8023,"date":"2011-02-14T11:25:41","date_gmt":"2011-02-14T16:25:41","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/johnesimpson.com\/blog\/?p=8023"},"modified":"2011-02-14T11:25:41","modified_gmt":"2011-02-14T16:25:41","slug":"what-is-hubris-alex","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johnesimpson.com\/blog\/2011\/02\/what-is-hubris-alex\/","title":{"rendered":"&#8220;What Is Hubris, Alex?&#8221; *"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;d heard of this little demonstration of computing power some time ago; last week I caught a documentary about it on PBS&#8217;s NOVA program. On the way into work today, I also heard <a title=\"NPR: on Watson vs. humans on 'Jeopardy!'\" href=\"http:\/\/www.npr.org\/2011\/02\/14\/133697585\/on-jeopardy-its-man-vs-this-machine\" target=\"_blank\">a more up-to-date report<\/a> of it on NPR&#8217;s <em>Morning Edition<\/em>. The event itself takes place tonight through Wednesday, during the regular <em>Jeopardy!<\/em> broadcast time slot.<\/p>\n<p><object classid=\"clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000\" width=\"499\" height=\"311\" codebase=\"http:\/\/download.macromedia.com\/pub\/shockwave\/cabs\/flash\/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0\"><param name=\"allowFullScreen\" value=\"true\" \/><param name=\"allowscriptaccess\" value=\"always\" \/><param name=\"src\" value=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/GyIf5oIjIC8?fs=1&amp;hl=en_US&amp;rel=0\" \/><param name=\"allowfullscreen\" value=\"true\" \/><\/object><\/p>\n<p>One of my favorite moments in the NOVA program: The Watson project leader at IBM, David Ferrucci, was for a while quite discouraged with Watson&#8217;s performance in dry runs. He&#8217;d invited his two small children to the set to watch one of these earlier tests. Onstage, Watson&#8217;s screen was set up as in the above video, between two human competitors. The part of the &#8220;host&#8221; was played by a comedian. Every time Watson got a question wrong (which happened many times during that stretch), the host laughed and made a wisecrack. Because, y&#8217;know, the wrong answers were often <em>surreally<\/em> wrong. People in the audience and Watson&#8217;s competitors always laughed at the host&#8217;s commentary.<\/p>\n<p>What did Ferrucci&#8217;s kids take away from the experience?<\/p>\n<p>Not that they&#8217;d witnessed something important, an historic event.<\/p>\n<p>Not that machines aren&#8217;t as &#8220;smart&#8221; as humans, nor even as &#8220;smart&#8221; as their advocates claim.<\/p>\n<p>To my knowledge, they didn&#8217;t remember &#8212; all kid-like &#8212; something completely irrelevant like the vending machines.<\/p>\n<p>No, what they got was emotional confusion: <em><\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; padding-right: 30px;\"><em>Why was that man picking on Watson, Daddy? Why was he making fun of him? And why was everyone else laughing and applauding with the man? Didn&#8217;t that hurt Watson&#8217;s feelings?<br \/>\n<\/em><\/p>\n<p>The highway of electronics history is, as they say, littered with the  road-kill of assertions that thus-and-such task will never be  successfully performed by a computer. So I lay no bets on the  outcome of this <em>Jeopardy!<\/em> challenge.<\/p>\n<p>________________________________<\/p>\n<p>* Note that this can refer to human hubris, either on the part of Watson&#8217;s designers and builders, or &#8212; to the contrary &#8212; on the part of everyone who thinks this will validate the conventional wisdom: that a computer cannot out-&#8220;think&#8221; a human on any task requiring natural-language processing.<\/p>\n<p>More interesting, maybe, to wonder: Will it someday refer to <em>machine<\/em> hubris?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;d heard of this little demonstration of computing power some time ago; last week I caught a documentary about it on PBS&#8217;s NOVA program. On the way into work today, I also heard a more up-to-date report of it on NPR&#8217;s Morning Edition. The event itself takes place tonight through Wednesday, during the regular Jeopardy! [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","h5ap_radio_sources":[],"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"activitypub_content_warning":"","activitypub_content_visibility":"","activitypub_max_image_attachments":3,"activitypub_interaction_policy_quote":"anyone","activitypub_status":"","footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[247,94,13,196,17,18,19,20],"tags":[2214,2215,2216,2217],"class_list":{"0":"post-8023","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-ruminations","7":"category-02_in-the-news","8":"category-05_media","9":"category-television","10":"category-04_technology","11":"category-computers","12":"category-internet","13":"category-programmingetc","14":"tag-watson","15":"tag-jeopardy","16":"tag-ibm","17":"tag-artificial-intelligence","18":"entry"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p6kZSG-25p","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/johnesimpson.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8023","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/johnesimpson.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/johnesimpson.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/johnesimpson.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/johnesimpson.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8023"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/johnesimpson.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8023\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8024,"href":"https:\/\/johnesimpson.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8023\/revisions\/8024"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/johnesimpson.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8023"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/johnesimpson.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8023"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/johnesimpson.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8023"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}